Wells writes a book called ’Anticipations’ in 1901. It’s an essay, rather than science fiction, in which he sets out to think carefully about what the future brings. He gets some of it right, and lots of it wrong. Elsewhere he’s credited with inventing the tank and the atom bomb.
I’m not convinced. You can always find connections like this, and you can never absent yourself from the colossal benefit of hindsight… I suspect people will always tend to overemphasise the similarities and play down the differences, however subconsciously.
But I think to be looking for differences at all is in a sense to miss the point. The introduction to my edition of ’Anticipations’ walks through what Wells got ’right’ chapter by chapter and what he missed – this reduces his work to a simple series of predictions, whereas it’s really also a terrific insight into Wells and, by extension, the world he was writing from. ”The secret of Science Fiction”, says Matt Groening, ”is not the future… it’s now”.